‘predict’ that every driver will finish the race in the position they start from). For qualifying predictions, the benchmark will be the previous race qualifying results while for the race the benchmark is the starting position (i.e. Anyway, it’s a slightly modified version of the well-known RMSE, so you can interpret it similarly.įirstly, let’s start by comparing the predictions for each race against some benchmarks. In the following section I’m showing the F1-predictor engine assessment using an evaluation metric I haven’t blogged about yet. Let’s see how F1-predictor performed! Model Assessment Both project helped me brush up my R and php skills respectively. There were some other ideas I blogged about like the F1 sentiment analysis dashboard and the F1-predictor API that I hadn’t initially planned but ended up implementing and publishing. And of course, doing so helped me gain a lot of confidence! This took away many of the doubts regarding the time I would have available after publishing the blog – and it really helped.ĭiscussing and writing about Data Science concepts like feature engineering and predictive modeling made me gain a deeper understanding of the concepts themselves in order to be able to explain them as simply as possible. In order to reduce any possible hesitation about creating this blog, I had drafted about eight blog posts and had them ready to publish at any time. In hindsight, creating a personal blog is something I should had done a few years ago! This blog gave me back much more than I expected! I had actually built the F1-predictor engine since late 2015 but I was always postponing publishing to a blog just because I thought I wouldn’t have time to maintain it or, maybe, I wasn’t confident enough to discuss something publicly about Data Science and Machine Learning. In this post I would like to describe my experience from this first year of keeping this blog and – most importantly – provide an objective assessment of 2017 predictions! Hamilton has the momentum after Canada but suffered what he described as his "worst qualifying session ever" last year in Baku, per BBC Sport.įerrari, meanwhile, need to respond after being outperformed last time out, and another aggressive, high-risk approach from Vettel could be enough to secure victory.2017 season is, unfortunately, over and at the same time that was the end of the first season F1-predictor published qualifying and race predictions. Red Bull team principal Christian Horner has claimed his team will struggle at the circuit, per Autosport. The result in Canada, as Mercedes picked up their first one-two of the season, indicates the team have closed the gap on Ferrari and suggests there may be very little to choose between the two teams. It was a rare error in judgement from Force India who, on the evidence of the season so far, should be battling for points once again in Baku. Perez was asked to let the quicker Ocon go past him if he could not overtake the Red Bull but refused, per Natasha Henry at the Telegraph. Ultimately, that decision allowed Vettel to finish fourth. It could have been even better in Canada with Sergio Perez and Esteban Ocon looking set to finish fourth and fifth, and even eyeing a podium, as they closed in on Red Bull's Daniel Ricciardo. The team also risk losing Fernando Alonso if they remain uncompetitive, with journalist James Allen reporting he could be tempted away:įorce India are enjoying a fine season, having had both of their drivers score points every race, bar Monaco this season. Per Oliver Brown at the Telegraph, McLaren want to end their relationship with Honda after race director Eric Boullier labelled their performance in Montreal "gut-wrenching." The team are yet to score a point this season, and while the chassis is strong the engine is unreliable and lacking in power, and the team appear to be rapidly losing patience. Your votes have made Sebastian Vettel #F1DriverOfTheDay at the #CanadianGP □□ īaku hosted the race for the first time last year, which saw Vettel finish second, while Hamilton was down in fifth after suffering technical problems.Įlsewhere in the pack, attention will again focus on the growing acrimony between McLaren and Honda, after Fernando Alonso was forced to retire with engine failure in Canada.
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